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Welcome to the day after tomorrow!

Innovations are flooding us in ever more rapid succession. So fast that entrepreneurs and managers can lose their grip on the situation. Which changes are happening? On this website, our #future blog, we briefly inform you about the latest developments and additionally try to sporadically arrange in order the impacts of these developments.

 

China far ahead of all industrialized countries? From 2019, a quota for e-vehicles and hybrids will apply

Anyone who still has doubts that the change is imminent will be taught a better lesson.

Since 28 September, it has been clear that anyone who produces and sells noteworthy cars in China from 2019 will have to meet a quota for vehicles with alternative drives. Every tenth car must then already be equipped with electric or hybrid drive. That was announced by the Chinese government that day.
This makes it clear that China will immediately approve 10% of all vehicles from the year after next year onwards in an environmentally friendly manner. In China, just over 23 million cars have been sold in recent years, which is more than in Germany (2016:3.5 million) and the USA (2016:17.5 million) combined. In 2019, this figure is expected to rise to around 27 million vehicles, which is equivalent to an annual market of just under 3 million alternative cars.
It is also clear that, with such a large market, the pace of development of electric vehicles, which in any case has already grown massively this year, will continue to accelerate. This will be accompanied by the mileage per battery charge and, inevitably, the number of charging stations.
And once this process has begun in China, Germany and the USA, other countries will soon follow suit.

Source: FAZ

 

Abbildung: By Australian cowboy (talk) - Own work (Original text: I (Australian cowboy (talk)) created this work entirely by myself.), GFDL, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=11970448

 


[FutureBlog] Addendum to the car debate: Paris wants to ban petrol and diesel vehicles from the city by 2030

Special conditions required for metropolises

In a radio interview, an official from the transport authority of the city of Paris said that Paris could ban cars with petrol engines as early as 2030. There would be a particular burden on metropolises such as Paris - which is why they had to start there earlier than in the rest of the country. For diesel vehicles, he also did not rule out an even earlier restriction of driving licences in the city.
France plans to ban the re-registration of such vehicles from 2040 onwards for the whole country.


Here is the current overview of planned bans:
France: from 2040 no longer approved
Paris: no longer has access to the urban area from 2030
UK: also from 2014 no registration of new vehicles with internal combustion engine
Netherlands: from 2030 no registration of new vehicles with internal combustion engine
Germany: The Greens are in favour of a ban on registration from 2030
Norway: From 2025 onwards, all new vehicles will be emission-free.


So far, however, all these data are mere announcements. There are no concrete legislative proposals in any country.


Picture by I, BrokenSphere, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=2460048


HEAT: Second project on autonomous driving for Hamburg on its way

In Hamburg, a consortium has successfully tapped the federal government's funding pool. The second project is scheduled to go live in Hamburg as early as 2018.

A small, inconspicuous press release issued yesterday by the Hamburg Ministry of Economic Affairs, Transport and Innovation shows that the topic of autonomous driving in Hamburg is now gaining massive momentum: A consortium called HEAT (Hamburg Electric Autonomous Transportation), consisting of authorities and companies of the city of Hamburg, has successfully applied for a federal subsidy budget and plans to have the first autonomous buses drive through HafenCity as early as the second half of 2018.

In contrast to the pilot project agreed with the German railway company Deutsche Bahn (see entry of 10 July 2017), this project is not to take place in the outer, less populated and less frequented outskirts of Hamburg. Instead, the planned buses will travel through Hamburg's prestigious HafenCity.

The Senate (Hamburgs regional government) is serious about its announcement that it wants to be an exemplary host for the 2021 ITS World Congress.

Click here for the press release

Image: Deutsche Bahn AG / Uwe Miethe


[FutureBlog] First fully autonomous vehicle on German roads: Deutsche Bahn tests electric bus

The time has come: the future of autonomous driving has begun. When does Deutsche Bahn compete with CarSharing and Taxi nationwide?

Since yesterday, the first completely autonomous vehicle has been available on the public roads of Germany. In a small town called Bad Birnbach, the autonomous Deutsche Bahn bus will be tested on a 700-metre test track before it will also be used in other cities such as Hamburg from 2018 onwards.
The vehicle was designed and built by a French company called EasyMile and has been tested in over 60 locations worldwide since 2015.

In Bad Birnbach, the small autonomous car still drives through the streets at a speed of 15 kilometres per hour and is also accompanied by an employee of Deutsche Bahn who could intervene in the journey at any time. However, both are measures that serve to secure the test, as the vehicle can travel completely autonomously on the previously surveyed route at speeds of up to 40 km/h.

The day yesterday was without doubt the milestone that will change our roads in the future. If in a few years' time the technology will be tested and further developed - why shouldn't there be small units that pick up passengers from every place and bring them to their destination like a mixture of car sharing and taxi?

Such vehicles would be much safer than human-controlled cars today, networked and coordinated with each other, and can drive through the cities like a string of pearls. Such developments would even have an impact on the urban development of the future

All information about the first public self-propelled vehicle can be found on the  Deutschen Bahn website.

Illustration: Deutsche Bahn AG / Uwe Miethe